NFL player forecasts, explained.

Catches, yards, touchdowns and attempts, each with a forecast of how likely it is, what the FanDuel price needs and the reasoning behind it, built around how players are actually being used.

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8 marketsCompared with the live FanDuel priceNo bet is placed here21+

Drew Robinson

WR · Catches

NFL

Line · FanDuel +110

Over 4.5 catches

Our forecast51 in 100

Price needs48 in 100

$10 wins$11

VerdictWorth a look

Last 10 games5+ catches in 6 of last 10

Why this pick?

Recent form: five or more catches in 6 of his last 10 games.
Opportunity: target share has climbed over the last four weeks.
Matchup: the defense has allowed above-average catches to his position.
Biggest uncertainty: listed as questionable on the injury report.

Illustrative example · fictional player and numbers

Markets

Every NFL market GammaLine covers.

CatchesReceiving yardsRushing yardsPassing yardsScores a touchdownPassing touchdownsPassing attemptsRushing attempts

Inside the forecast

What the NFL model looks at.

Recent usage, such as targets, carries and pass attempts, weighted 70% on recent games and 30% on longer history.
Snap counts, depth charts and play-by-play from nflverse.
Daily player status, so injury news shows up next to the number.
The current FanDuel line and price, including alternate lines you can step through.

Stats: nflverse · Schedules: ESPN · Player status: Sleeper · Prices: FanDuel

Line history

See how a player’s line and price have moved through the week.

Price alerts

Set the price you’re waiting for and GammaLine flags the pick when it gets there while the page is open.

FanDuel price finder

Scan the week’s games for picks where the forecast and the price disagree.

Compare lists

Put two lists of picks side by side before you decide.

Honest numbers

How the NFL model has done.

NFL testing is honest about its limits: high-yardage probabilities are still overconfident, and a plain “always take the under” rule was right 57.05% of the time in the same test. Treat yardage estimates at the top of the range with extra care.

See every sport’s model checks

Also on GammaLine

MLB forecasts

Lineup- and matchup-aware forecasts for hitters and pitchers, with confirmed-lineup status.

Explore MLB

WNBA forecasts

Minutes-first forecasts for points, rebounds, assists, threes and the combinations.

Explore WNBA

Read NFL forecasts with GammaLine.

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