GammaLine shows every pick as a hundred nights: if this game were played a hundred times, on how many of them would the player clear the line? The picture is a ten-by-ten grid of dots, one per night.
The dots
- Green dots are nights we think it happens.
- Light green dots are the extra nights beyond what the price needs. They are the reason to look.
- Amber-ringed dots are nights the price needs that we do not expect. They are what you would be paying for.
- Grey dots are nights it does not happen.
Under the dots sit the two numbers: our forecast, and what the price needs. A forecast of 55 in 100 against a price that needs 48 shows 48 green dots, 7 light green and 45 grey. A forecast of 61 against a price that needs 66 shows 61 green, 5 amber rings and 34 grey.
The verdict
- Worth a look: our forecast is 3 or more nights above what the price needs.
- About fair: within 3 nights either way. Nothing to gain, and nothing wrong with skipping.
- Steep price: 3 or more nights below what the price needs.
Every card also names the one thing most likely to go wrong, and you can flip to sportsbook terms any time to see the same numbers as percentages and odds.
Published by GammaLine · Updated September 29, 2026
More lessons: What’s a line, anyway? · What the price actually means · Why a likely pick can be a bad deal · How to read the odds: break-even and implied probability · What are fair odds? Turning a probability into a price · Why a 60% pick still misses